Sept. 30, 2024

Hurricane Helen: The Impact of Climate Change on Intense Storms

Hurricane Helen: The Impact of Climate Change on Intense Storms

In this episode of the How to Protect the Ocean podcast, host Andrew Lewin addresses the devastating impacts of Hurricane Helen, which has caused significant property damage and claimed 52 lives across the U.S., particularly in Florida, Georgia, and...

In this episode of the How to Protect the Ocean podcast, host Andrew Lewin addresses the devastating impacts of Hurricane Helen, which has caused significant property damage and claimed 52 lives across the U.S., particularly in Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina. The discussion centers around the implications of climate change on hurricane intensity and frequency, highlighting how storms are rapidly escalating in size and strength. Andrew also explores the current hurricane categorization system and the possibility of introducing a new category to better reflect the increasing severity of these storms.

Tune in to understand the connection between climate change and extreme weather events, and learn how you can take action for a healthier ocean.

Articles:

https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/4904495-climcate-change-hurricanes-intensifying-how/

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/live-map-helene

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php?os=app&ref=app

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Climate Change and Its Impact on Hurricanes

Climate change is profoundly affecting the intensity and frequency of hurricanes, leading to more severe flooding and damage in impacted regions. This phenomenon arises from several interconnected factors that are altering the behavior of these powerful storms.

Warmer Ocean Temperatures

One of the primary drivers of increased hurricane intensity is the rising temperature of ocean waters. As the Gulf of Mexico and other bodies of water warm due to climate change, they provide more energy to hurricanes. This additional heat results in greater evaporation, allowing the clouds associated with hurricanes to hold more moisture. Consequently, even hurricanes classified as Category 1 can produce an unexpected amount of rainfall, leading to severe flooding.

Rapid Intensification

The recent episode discusses Hurricane Helen, which rapidly intensified from a Category 1 to a Category 4 storm. This rapid escalation is becoming more common as climate change continues to warm ocean waters. The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale categorizes hurricanes based on wind speed, but the sheer size and moisture content of the storm are equally important. The increased size of storms means they can affect larger areas, resulting in widespread damage and flooding.

Increased Rainfall and Flooding

With hurricanes holding more water, the amount of rainfall associated with these storms has also increased. This is particularly concerning for areas that may lack the infrastructure to handle such heavy rainfall. The episode highlights that even a Category 1 hurricane can lead to significant flooding if it brings more rain than expected. The combination of heavy rainfall and storm surge can overwhelm drainage systems, resulting in catastrophic flooding in residential areas.

Vulnerable Infrastructure

Many coastal regions have infrastructure that is not designed to cope with the increased rainfall and flooding associated with more intense hurricanes. As mentioned in the episode, areas like Florida are particularly vulnerable, with many homes and communities at risk of being inundated. The episode also notes that past storms have influenced people's decisions about evacuation, leading some to underestimate the risks associated with hurricanes.

The Role of Policy and Action

The episode emphasizes the urgent need for political action to address climate change and its impacts on hurricanes. It points out that some politicians are not taking the necessary steps to mitigate climate change, ultimately affecting the safety and well-being of their constituents. The call to action is clear: voters must hold their leaders accountable and advocate for policies that address climate change to reduce the risks associated with future hurricanes.

Conclusion

In summary, climate change is a significant factor contributing to the increasing intensity and frequency of hurricanes. The warming of ocean waters leads to more powerful storms that can produce severe flooding and damage. As communities confront the realities of these intensified storms, it is crucial to advocate for effective climate policies and infrastructure improvements to protect lives and property in the future.

The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale is a widely recognized system that categorizes hurricanes from 1 to 5 based on their sustained wind speeds. This scale helps communicate the potential damage a hurricane can cause, with Category 1 representing the least severe winds (74 to 95 mph) and Category 5 indicating catastrophic winds of 157 mph or higher. However, while this scale focuses primarily on wind speed, it is essential to understand that the amount of rainfall and the resulting flooding can be significant even in lower categories.

In a recent episode of the How to Protect the Ocean podcast, host Andrew Lewin discussed Hurricane Helen, which rapidly intensified from a Category 1 to a Category 4 hurricane. This rapid escalation in intensity not only increased wind speeds but also contributed to a substantial increase in rainfall. The podcast highlighted that the warming waters of the Gulf of Mexico allow hurricane clouds to hold more moisture, leading to heavier rainfall during storms. This phenomenon means that even a Category 1 hurricane can produce unexpected and dangerous amounts of rain, resulting in severe flooding.

For instance, Lewin pointed out that many residents may underestimate the risks associated with a Category 1 hurricane, believing it to be manageable based on past experiences. However, the increased capacity of clouds to hold moisture due to climate change can lead to flooding that overwhelms local infrastructure, which is often not designed to handle such extreme rainfall. This was evident in the aftermath of Hurricane Helen, where significant flooding occurred even as the storm was initially categorized as a lower-level hurricane.

Moreover, the podcast emphasized that the combination of storm surge and heavy rainfall can create a perfect storm for flooding. Storm surge refers to the rise in water level caused by the hurricane's winds pushing water toward the shore, and when this is compounded by heavy rainfall, the results can be devastating. Lewin shared examples of homes being flooded and even floating away, illustrating the dire consequences of underestimating a storm's potential based on its wind category alone.

In conclusion, while the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale provides a useful framework for understanding hurricane intensity, it is essential to consider the broader impacts of hurricanes, particularly in terms of rainfall and flooding. As climate change continues to influence weather patterns, the risks associated with hurricanes—regardless of their category—are likely to increase, making it vital for communities to prepare for the potential for significant flooding even from lower-category storms.

Transcript
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Hurricane Helen has come through the United States and

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it's had a lot of damage. Not only property damage, but

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it's taken 52 lives in the U.S.

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Not just in Florida, but in Georgia, North Carolina, and

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other places. And it's caused flash flooding in a lot of

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those places. Homes were floating around. It's

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not good. And it doesn't look like it's going to

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get better with storms. And I had a question from an audience member

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saying, hey, Andrew, can you start talking about how climate change is

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affecting these hurricanes? And we're going to talk about that on today's episode of

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the How to Protect the Ocean podcast. Let's start the show. Hey

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everybody, welcome back to another exciting episode of the How to Protect the Ocean podcast. I'm

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your host, Andrew Lewin, and this is the podcast where you find out what's happening with the ocean, how

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you can speak up for the ocean, what you can do to live for a better ocean by

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taking action. And on today's episode, we're not talking about

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something that's fun to talk about, in my opinion. Hurricane Helen just went

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through Florida, Georgia, North Carolinas, and

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other places, taking 52 lives. causing

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so much damage and we need to

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talk about it. We need to talk about these storms. Interesting

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in a lot of different ways, in that it was a lot bigger,

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larger in space. When you look at the radius

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and the diameter of this storm, it really

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increased rapidly from a Hurricane 1, Category

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1, to a Hurricane 4. We're going to talk about these categories. And

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we're going to talk about what scientists are now thinking in terms of maybe adding

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another category. So we're going to talk about that today. But we're going to talk about

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why you know climate change is actually helping

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these storms become more intense and more frequent and

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even a lot more flooding, a lot more rain is being

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had in these hurricanes and

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that's a danger to a lot of places. So we're going

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to talk about that a number of times and we're also going to talk about

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ways that people can get better access, you

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know ways that you know past storms may have

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had an influence on the decision of how people or

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when people will evacuate if they will evacuate and we're gonna we're

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gonna talk about that as well so lots to get into before

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we do that though I just want to remind people if you want to know more about what's

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happening in the ocean, you can get access to

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our newsletter. If you go to speakupforblue.com forward slash newsletter,

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you can get access to three articles a day, Monday to Friday. You can also

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get access to our latest videos, our latest podcasts, because

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access to job openings and things like that around the world. All

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you have to do is click on the link in

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the show notes or go to www.speakupforblue.com. That's

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www.speakupforblue.com forward slash newsletter. And

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we can get into it. We can get find find out more about this information There's

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a lot of times we get you know We I just accumulate all these stories

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that I see that I find interesting that I think you would be interested in as well And

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I think this is what we do right we provide a resource of where you can get information On

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on the ocean, so that's what we do so speak up for blue comm forward slash Newsletter

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is where you would go for that sign up for free. I don't

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charge anything And I never share your email with anybody else

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But anyway, let's get into the episode. This is not

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a fun episode to talk about. Like I said, people lost their lives, people

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lost their homes. Insurance is really difficult to come by, especially when

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it comes to flash flooding or any kind of hurricanes, especially

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in Florida. I watched a lot of videos that

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were covering it. A lot of people were live streaming during the time. A lot

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more people didn't evacuate, and that's a scary

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thought. And I think a lot of it was because it

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started off as a category one. It hit the Yucatan Peninsula,

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so in Mexico. And it was like a Category 3. And once it goes

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over land a little bit, it kind of dissipates. And it went down to a Category 1. But

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it rapidly increased. And the size, the

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sheer size of the hurricane, not the intensity, but the size

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in terms of how the hurricane clouds, how much area

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it covered, was a lot bigger, probably one of the biggest ones we've seen

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in a long time. And you can see there were videos

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of people being rescued on sailboats and people being rescued

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from flooding, but even before the hurricane came in. And

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obviously, that's a danger. But I went from a Category 1 to a Category

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4. And I want to just talk a little bit about the category.

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So the Saphir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale

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is what categorizes these hurricanes. So

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it's categories right now currently 1 to 5. And

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it basically goes by wind. So Category 1 is a 74 to 95 mile an hour

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winds. Category 2 is 96 to 110 miles an hour. three

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attack at the hurricane category three which is a major hurricane is

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considered the beginning of the major hurricanes is a hundred eleven two hundred nine

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hundred twenty nine miles an hour winds category four

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which was what hurricane helen was was a hundred and thirty two hundred and fifty

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six mile per hour winds percent against big wins here and

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category five which hurricane barrel was earlier this year earlier this

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summer was a hundred and fifty seven mile an hour winds or

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higher The types of damage for Category 1, if

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you just think about that, is very dangerous winds will produce some damage. Well-constructed

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frame homes could have damage to roofs, shingles, vinyl siding,

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and gutters. Large branches of trees will snap and shallow

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rooted trees will be toppled. Extensive damage to power

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lines and poles likely will result in power outages that

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could last a few to several days. So that's just a Category 1. I'm

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not going to read all of them because I'll put a link in the show notes

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of where You can get access to this. This is on the NOAA website. But

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a major hurricane, Category 3, is devastating

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damage will occur. Well-built framed homes may incur major

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damage or removal of roof, decking, and gable ends.

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I'm not sure what gable ends are, but many trees will be

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snapped or uprooted, blocking numerous roads. Electricity and

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water will be unavailable for several days to weeks after the storm passes.

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I was involved in a Hurricane 3. when I

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lived in Halifax back in 2003, 2004. It was Hurricane

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Juan. It rapidly intensified. We thought it was going to

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be a tropical storm. It ended up being a Category 3. Those

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winds were no joke. We were lucky in terms of

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where my wife and I were living, but the downtown areas where

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there was lots of huge trees that were upended put the city, just

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disabled the city for like three weeks in a state of emergency. And

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that is obviously not good. Category 4, which is Hurricane Helen,

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has catastrophic damage will occur. Well-built framed houses

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can sustain severe damage with loss of most of

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the roof structure and or some exterior walls. Most

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trees will be snapped or uprooted and power poles downed.

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Fallen trees and power poles will

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isolate residential areas. Power outages will last weeks to

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possibly months. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks

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or months. I

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think the Tampa Bay area and the panhandle of Florida.

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And they're saying, hey, you know what? Earlier in the day, it's a category one.

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You might want to think about evacuating. But because the

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ocean, the Gulf of Mexico, is so warm, that this could rapidly

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increase into something like category 2, 3, or

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4. It ended up being 4. But a day is not

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a lot of time to get a lot of people out of a city or a lot

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of people out of the area. It's not just Tampa Bay. You've got surrounding areas.

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We knew the storm surge was going to be heavy. And storm surge essentially

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is what water comes to the land from a storm, right?

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Surging water that comes through, storm surge. They were predicting maybe

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about eight feet high. That's, you know, above

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most people's height, right? It'd be very, I would say everybody's

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height. It's safe to say, unless you're a basketball player and you're eight feet, that

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doesn't exist as far as I know. But, you know, so that's up

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above most houses, first floor houses. So that

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could be very dangerous in terms of flooding roads, you can't get out

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if you can't leave. There were videos that I saw of

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older people who were saying, look, I just

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don't have the means to leave. I'm going to ride it out. There was

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another gentleman who made CNN. During

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the storm, he was actually live streaming from his house. in

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a kayak, and he was on the kayak in probably about

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five or six feet of water, it looked like, and he was live

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streaming. He was fine, but he basically lost everything in

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his home. I think he tried to put stuff in storage. I don't know the full story on

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this, but he was just sitting on a kayak throughout the whole time, but

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that water could have gone higher, right? We don't

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know exactly what that was gonna do, depending on that

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surge. And when you have a surge, you have rapidly,

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We have water coming in rapidly, and it could

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have a current to it. And that could be dangerous if you're out of the house or

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you're not. Even on boats, boats were being flown all over the place.

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The next day, you saw boats all over the land. These

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are some 20, 30 footers, 40 footers that were just everywhere

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because the waves were coming in so high, the storm surge was coming in so high.

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The winds were crazy. Just as

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I read for the Category 4 hurricanes, catastrophic

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damage to houses. Homes were actually floating away. If

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it's not properly framed homes or not, what do they call

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it, well-built framed homes, your home

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has had a risk of just floating

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away. That's dangerous in and of itself, and you

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don't want to see that happen to anybody. The guy in the kayak was saying

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to CNN, he doesn't have insurance on his home. He

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said, we'll just have to start over, and we're just going to have to continue to do this. This

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is why I tell people, you may not want to live in Florida. You

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may not want to live in Florida. A lot of people still say, hey, I want to

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go to Florida because it's so nice. There are some times you may not want

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to live there full year round or have an own property because one,

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you may not get insurance for flooding. And it's not necessarily just

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these major hurricanes. There's an article in The Hill. And

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I'll put that link in this show notes in the description. They

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start talking about how because the Gulf

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of Mexico and the ocean is getting hotter, then that

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means the clouds are holding more water

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because there's more evaporation of water, goes into the

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clouds, and the clouds are holding, so these hurricane clouds are holding more water. It doesn't matter

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if it's a hurricane one, four, or five. It matters how

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much water this is holding. There's more water that's coming down, and

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that means more flooding. You know, when you add that to the

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storm surge, you add that to sea level rise, there are a lot of

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vulnerable areas along those coastlines and maybe even inland more

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because they're not ready for this type of rain, the

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amount of rain that we're willing to have. The infrastructure was not built

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that way. And so even if you have a Category 1, people

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didn't leave when it was a Category 4 because they couldn't because they thought it was a Category 1 or

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2 when it first started to come. They think, hey, you know what, I can survive

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a category one. Well, one, you have the risk of it increasing because of

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rapidly increasing because it's getting hotter and hotter in the ocean, more

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evaporation is coming. Apparently, this is how the winds increase

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is when it gets hotter and hotter. And so that energy transfer from

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the ocean to the clouds gets

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faster. And so that means it increases not only the size of

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the storm, but it increases the wind speeds. Hence why we had such

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a rapidly increasing category 1 to 4. It increased that wind speed

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super, super fast. So you have that risk of it actually increasing as

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it comes closer to land. But then you also have the risk of just the flooding

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that comes. Even if it's a category 1, you risk people saying,

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hey, you know what? It's only a category 1. I live in Florida. I've lived my

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entire life here. And I've gone through hurricanes. And there have been some

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where we've evacuated. But category ones, that's just like a

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big storm. And you kind of get that toughness to it because you're like, yeah, we got some damage, maybe

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a couple of broken windows. We'll put the protectors on the windows. And

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we'll make sure we reinforce some sandbags and things like that to make sure

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the water doesn't come in. But we'll be fine. But then you get more water than expected.

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That's dangerous, right? That's dangerous to your infrastructure that's not

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used to that much water, right? At that amount of time. Case in

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point, Burlington, Ontario, where I live, we had the

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remnants of Hurricane Beryl came right up the Midwest, and

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it took a little right turn, it came right into Ontario. And we

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had massively rapid rains. We had squalls. It

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was like, you know, rain squalls, which we don't normally have. We were in squall warnings

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for a long time. And not only did we get so much water, we had so

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much water that a lot of the infrastructure couldn't hold. People were flooded out

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of their homes, in their basements, even in the first level. Though not only

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their basements filled up all the way, but the first level filled up about five

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or six feet in certain areas. That infrastructure gets tested

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during these storms. We just can't continue to

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have this. That infrastructure is going to have to change. We're going to have to adapt. We're going to have to put more money

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in the system and really start to look at our politicians to

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make sure that they are protecting us for that adaptation. Because

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until we do something to reduce climate change, which we're not doing fast

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enough, We are going to have these storms. They are going to

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increase in intensity. They are going to increase in number. There are

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two more storms apparently right behind Hurricane Ellen, and the

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ocean hasn't really cooled down from these storms, so it's just going to

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get hotter and hotter, and we're just going to find, like, we're late September

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up here in Ontario, and it's 23 degrees. Celsius.

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That's really hot for this time of year. We are not used to

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seeing this on a regular basis. We barely had a winter last

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year. I don't know what this winter is going to be like, if we're going to get more snow, less

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snow, cold, or even just mild temperatures as we did before. A

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lot of it's up in the air. And the thing is, no matter what, it's

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going to test our infrastructure. Not only in Ontario, but

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across the Midwest, and across the United States, across

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Canada, down into the southern United States, especially where they

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get these hurricanes, there's going to be more and more damage. and people are

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not necessarily leaving their homes. There are a lot of videos of people staying

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on boats and things like that, and that boat's going to get capsized at

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one point. At one point before the

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hurricane even came in during the day, there was a rescue for

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an emergency that a man and his dog were in the actual water. They

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had to abandon their sailboat because they're in these massive waves. and

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their boat was basically just couldn't go anywhere, it was just stuck,

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it was isolated and they just couldn't move and they were afraid, they couldn't get

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out of the, they couldn't get to shore and they had to, you know, there's video,

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harrowing videos of these rescuers, you know, saving

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the person and the dog. And to be honest, like what are they doing out there in

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the first place? I don't know how they got out there or if they did that

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on purpose, but that's a danger, right? You know, I'm a dog lover. Nobody

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wants to see dog die. Nobody wants to see their owner die either. They

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put themselves at risk just by being out there, whether it was on purpose or not,

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I don't know. So I don't want to make assumptions, but that's, that's, that's taking

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resources away to save those people because they have, They

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have to save that person, excuse me. But also, that's

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taking time away from going elsewhere and saving anybody else,

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right? So things move fast. And case

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in point, there was a video on Fox News. The guy was on live, the

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reporter. There was water behind him. Classic shot

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in a hurricane. There was a car that was almost submerged.

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You can almost just see the top of the window and the

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roof. And then you hear someone saying, help me, help me, help me. And

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the reporter said, we've called 911. should be here any minute,

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told the reporter that he was talking to, the anchor that he was

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talking to, that they've called 911. But then he finally just said, you know what, I

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gotta do something. And he hurriedly walked into the

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water. You don't know what the current is like. Walked into the water, got

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the woman out, carried the woman all the way to safety, thank

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God, and then went back and did his reporting. Emergency

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services can't get everywhere all the time. And by staying in

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those areas, which is risky, you want to have a

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service or something that can actually try and predict these things faster,

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that people can tune into. It's going to be extremely important in

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the future when you have you know, rapidly growing hurricanes.

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You have more water in these hurricanes, so more flooding available

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in these hurricanes, lack of infrastructure, right? And then lack

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of action. Florida has a governor who's not taking any

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action against climate change and has removed the word climate change from all

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of their policies. They've gone in the opposite direction and

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the people are paying for it. The people are paying for it. The people who vote them

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in are paying for it, but also the people who didn't vote for them, they're paying for it as well. And

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Florida is predicted by the IPCC to go underwater, half

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of it to go underwater at some point in the future, whether it's 2050 or

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not. And people aren't believing it. The IPCC was right when they said, hey,

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clouds are going to hold more water. It's science, folks. This is what's

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happening. And we're fighting against governors and

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politicians who are denying this. They're getting paid by fossil fuel

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companies and super PACs that are funded by

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these fossil fuel companies to say, hey, you know what? There's nothing we can really

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do. But people are losing their lives. People are losing their homes, their

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livelihoods. It's going to take a long time to recover from this.

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And the amount of money that has to go into the recovery and

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cleanup of this mess, it's insane. It's

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an insane amount. And I'm working on a story now to look at the

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actual coverages of like the amount of money that it takes to do

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this. But this is insane to see this

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on a, you know, this is going to be regular happenings from now on, these

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intensified storms, right? And whether they're category one

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or category four, you're still going to get the same amount of rain. Right? And

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so that's the concern. And with climate change

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continuing to affect and influence our weather systems, we

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are going to see these storms continue to happen. And that is

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scary in itself. Right? But I

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don't want you to think that we're done, for this is going to

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be it. This is going to be it. There is hope. There is optimism. There are people out

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there, there are politicians out there who want to do something about climate change. It's

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a matter of can we vote them in? At some

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point, The work for climate adaptation, the

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work for reducing the emissions that will affect climate change will

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come into play because it's going to affect our economy. I know politicians normally

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focus more on economy versus the environment, so

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we have to fund to maintain the economy, but that means a lot of times

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that we don't fund environmental practice. At some point, those

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two are going to come together and the environment is going to affect the economy as it's

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doing in Florida, as it did in Georgia, as it did in North Carolina.

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By these major floods, it takes money to clean

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this stuff up. It takes money to adapt. And eventually, that

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money is going to affect our economy. It could be already. That's

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the story I'm working on. So hopefully, I'll be able to have something for you soon. But

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this is a huge, huge problem. And it's not something that

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we need to turn a blind eye to. So

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sorry for this Monday episode being a little bit pessimistic, but

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sometimes we have to talk about these things. And the hope that I have is

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that we can actually take care of this. We can actually help the people

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in Florida, help the people in Georgia, help people in North Carolina and elsewhere,

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so that we don't have to go through this in the future. All we have to do is just reduce

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emissions. Just reduce emissions. As complex as

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it is, it's not difficult to do. We just need to have the people

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in power to actually do that. And that's up to us to vote. There are major

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elections coming up in the US, and there's going to be some major elections coming up

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in Canada. And it's up to us here in North America to

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help make sure these politicians get into power.

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So ask people about their climate change policies if they come around to your door. They

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should be answering. If they don't have an answer, they don't have a plan, they

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should not be in power. They should

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not get your vote, in my opinion. For this audience, climate change is

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a big deal, and I think we need to hold our

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politicians accountable for that. We need to act faster, because we're

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not only seeing these problems happen, now it's starting

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to get regular occurrence, and we can't get used to this. There's just too much

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money involved, the livelihoods of people, people's lives involved,

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and we just don't want to see this happen again. So let's

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get on it. Let's get out and vote. You know, register to vote if you

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if you're able to register to vote and vote wherever you can and

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however you can. All right. Only once, of course, but vote. That's

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it for today's episode. If you have any questions or comments on this episode or if

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you've been in the areas or you know of any crowdfunding

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ways to help some people out, please let me know. I'll post them, I'll add

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them to the list in our show notes. But let

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me know. You can get a hold of me just by commenting on the Spotify

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video or audio, however you're listening to this, or You can

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go to YouTube where you can see the video of me talking about this

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stuff. And of course, you can just hit me up on Instagram at HowToProtectTheOcean.

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That's at HowToProtectTheOcean. DM me, feel free to do so.

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Because this is the starting of a conversation, and I want to hear your opinions on

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this. Let me know what you think. And I want to thank Nicole for

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suggesting this episode. Thank you so much. It

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was great to get your email and your interaction. If you have a suggestion or

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a comment, feel free to get a hold of me. I just told you how. And I want to thank you

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so much for joining me on today's episode of the How to Protect the Ocean podcast. Have